Method of dismissal markets let you bet on how a specific batter will get out — caught, bowled, LBW, run out, stumped, or retired. On paper, this sounds like an interesting proposition. In practice, it is one of the most difficult cricket markets to trade profitably. Here is why, and where the rare genuine opportunities exist.
This guide explains how method of dismissal markets work on Playinexch, the statistical realities behind each dismissal type, and the specific scenarios where these markets might offer edge.
How Method of Dismissal Markets Work
Method of dismissal markets on Playinexch cricket typically offer lines on how the next wicket will fall, or how a specific named batter will be dismissed. The most common outcomes priced are: caught (behind or outfield), bowled, LBW, and run out. Less common are stumped, hit wicket, or obstructing the field.
Markets usually settle when the relevant batter is dismissed. If the batter is not dismissed during the innings (not out), the market is typically voided. Check the specific rules on Playinexch before placing.
Dismissal Type Base Rates in T20 Cricket
| Dismissal type | T20 frequency | Test frequency |
|---|---|---|
| Caught | 55–60% | 55–58% |
| Bowled | 15–18% | 18–22% |
| LBW | 10–13% | 15–20% |
| Run out | 8–10% | 3–5% |
| Stumped | 4–6% | 2–3% |
| Other | 1–2% | 1–2% |
The caught dismissal dominates all formats. This is your baseline calibration. Any market that prices caught significantly lower than 50% is likely offering poor value on the alternative dismissal types.
Where Genuine Edge Exists
The rare genuine edge in method of dismissal comes from batter-specific tendencies that the broad market does not fully price. Some batters have dramatically higher-than-average rates for specific dismissal types:
- An aggressive T20 batter who attacks over the infield constantly has a higher caught-outfield rate than average
- A technically weak batter against quality swing has higher bowled and LBW rates in conditions that favour swing
- An aggressive runner between wickets, or a team that runs aggressively in the death overs, has higher run-out rates
- A batter who dances down the track against spin has a higher stumped rate in conditions where the keeper is standing up
These tendencies need to be cross-referenced with current conditions: is the pitch supporting the relevant bowling type? If a batter is swing-vulnerable but the pitch is flat and dry with no overhead cloud cover, their swing vulnerability is not in play today.
Why This Market Is Hard to Beat Consistently
The fundamental problem with method of dismissal markets is sample size. Cricket statistics at the individual batter level are limited. A batter may have 200 T20 dismissals over their career — enough for some patterns. But in specific conditions against specific bowling types, you may have 20–30 data points. That is not enough to reliably identify genuine tendencies versus noise.
The market settles on a single event in a single innings. Variance is enormous. Even if you correctly identify that a batter has a 25% caught-outfield rate versus a market-implied 15%, that batter will be caught outfield only 1 in 4 dismissals. A lot of bad beats happen before the edge becomes visible over time.
Commission Makes It Even Harder
Playinexch charges commission on winning bets. In a market where the edge is small and the variance is high, commission erodes a significant portion of any theoretical edge. For method of dismissal markets to be worth pursuing, the edge needs to be substantial — not marginal.
Best Use of Method of Dismissal Markets
Rather than using these markets as primary bets, consider them as part of a parlay or hedge strategy. If you have a strong read on a batter’s vulnerability in specific conditions, a small position in the method of dismissal market can complement a larger position in the main match-odds or session market — adding a secondary return if your match read is correct.
For full information on available markets and settlement rules, check the Playinexch review.
FAQ
What happens if a batter is not out at the end of the innings?
In most cases, the market is voided and stakes are returned. A not-out batter means the dismissal event never occurred. Always check Playinexch’s specific market rules before placing.
Which dismissal type is easiest to bet on?
Caught is the most statistically stable. It accounts for 55–60% of all T20 dismissals and is fairly consistently priced. LBW tends to have the most variance in market pricing — it is often slightly underpriced versus its actual frequency in spin-friendly conditions.
Are method of dismissal markets available for all IPL matches?
Coverage varies. High-profile IPL matches and India internationals typically have more method of dismissal market options than lower-profile domestic T20 fixtures. Check Playinexch’s market listing before any specific match.